您的当前位置:首页 > 商业 > Research shows that airdrop tokens often experience a significant drop within 15 days! What conditions are needed to break through against the trend? 正文
时间:2025-07-03 16:30:52 来源:网络整理 编辑:商业
Droppedtokensexperienceasignificantdropwithin15daysArecentstudybycryptocurrencymarketmakerKeyrocksho
A recent study by cryptocurrency market maker Keyrock shows that 88% of tokens issued through airdrops this year experienced a decline after three months, with the majority experiencing a significant drop within 15 days of the airdrop.
Keyrock wrote in the report:
In the first few days after the airdrop, the price fluctuates the most. After three months, only a few tokens can achieve positive returns, and only a very small number can break this trend later
The practice of token airdrops was initially intended to reward users who contributed to the early success of the protocol, but in recent years, airdrops have been increasingly used as a means of attracting users and drawing attention to the protocol. With the listing of spot Bitcoin ETFs in early 2024, Bitcoin soared to a historic high, and the market's enthusiasm for airdrops reached its peak, causing prices of other cryptocurrencies to rise as well.
Despite the high market atmosphere, the price performance of most airdrop tokens this year has been unsatisfactory. However, a small number of airdrops have still been successful.
The market generally believes that the more tokens a project airdrops, the worse its market performance will be. This viewpoint is not difficult to understand, as airdrops often result in lucky users receiving tokens worth thousands of dollars, and most users are eager to cash out this unexpected windfall. In addition, many "witch attackers" with multiple accounts are lurking in these airdrop projects, resulting in a sharp increase in the number of tokens being sold. However, the actual data does not fully support this common view.
Keyrock states:
Contrary to common belief, large-scale airdrops do not always lead to selling. One project airdropped 70% of its tokens but still achieved positive returns, indicating that FDV management is more important
FDV (fully diluted valuation) refers to the total value of all tokens in circulation, including tokens that have not yet been unlocked or distributed. Keyrock pointed out that there are two reasons for the poor performance of high FDV airdrop token prices.
Firstly, projects with excessively high FDV often struggle to maintain growth momentum due to limited expected upside potential. In addition, high FDV tokens often lack sufficient liquidity to support their valuation, and once liquidity is insufficient, the price becomes extremely sensitive to selling pressure. This year, many projects have been criticized for issuing tokens with excessively high FDV. Marc Weinstein, a partner at crypto investment firm Mechanism Capital, once said in an interview with foreign media:
Only those short-term arbitrageurs will see low liquidity supply (overvalued low liquidity) as an opportunity for quick profit
Keyrock also identified the most successful and failed airdrop cases in their research. Among them, Solana trading platform Drift is one of the biggest winners. Keyrock believes that the key to its success lies in moderate issuance value and fair and carefully considered token distribution. Currently, the trading price of DRIFT tokens is nearly three times the issue price.
In addition, Keyrock further stated that Solana is the best performing memory blockchain on average for airdrops in 2024, with successful tokens such as WEN and JUP.
In contrast, the lending protocol ZkLend and the Ethereum layer 2 network Starknet performed the worst. According to Keyrock's analysis, ZkLend's ZEND token has fallen by 95% since its issuance price. Keyrock attributed the poor performance of ZkLend token to its high issuance value and the project's failure to establish sufficient influence for its brand. Keyrock states:
The situation of ZkLend is a strong warning that even if airdrops and hype can attract users, they cannot truly create value, practicality, or sustainable communities
Reference source
ripple币怎么购买 ripple币怎么买卖2025-07-03 16:51
泰达币值么投资么-分析泰达币的投资价值2025-07-03 16:42
meme币交易所app下载官方 meme币最新版下载官方app下载2025-07-03 16:17
发放工资可以不计提吗2025-07-03 16:15
寻道大千等级怎么拉的快 寻道大千世界笔趣阁2025-07-03 16:05
上海贝岭收盘涨5.88%,主力资金净流出2.08亿元2025-07-03 16:04
万润科技收盘涨8.61%,主力资金净流出6.5亿元2025-07-03 15:52
比特币波动率小幅回升至1.90%2025-07-03 15:35
2014年退市股票-2014年退市股票一览表2025-07-03 15:24
沧港铁路(02169.HK)委任国卫为新核数师2025-07-03 15:04
加密货币投资者涉嫌绑架并折磨意大利游客数周以窃取密码2025-07-03 16:50
特朗普称与俄罗斯总统普京的通话“非常顺利”2025-07-03 16:37
国际比特币每日行情2025-07-03 16:29
YZi Labs 参投,一文读懂 AI「数据挖矿」项目 Gata2025-07-03 16:23
冬季盛行什么风气候什么-冬季盛行什么风和什么风2025-07-03 16:11
欧意交易所是正规平台吗(比特币交易,安全第一)2025-07-03 16:08
BankSocial 首席执行官在 Ripple 会议后表示,“你对 XRP 的设想还不够宏大,应该将其放大 1,000,000,000 倍”2025-07-03 15:35
OKX 首席营销官 Haider Rafique:预告与迈凯伦车队共同设计的“Legend Reborn”涂装,致敬传奇,挑战自我2025-07-03 15:23
gxc最新价格行情-gxc价格今日行情2025-07-03 15:19
移远通信:2024年第三季度毛利率环比下降,新业务收入增长,关注美国智能网联汽车政策对公司业务影响2025-07-03 14:39